Authorities have issued a flood alert for the River Chenab at Marala, where rising water levels threaten vulnerable communities in Pakistan’s Punjab province. The Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) warns of potential overflow in low-lying areas due to increased river flows.
Rising Waters Spark Concern
The River Chenab, a vital waterway for Punjab’s agriculture, is under close watch as inflows at Marala Headworks reached 169,000 cubic feet per second (cusecs) with outflows at 144,000 cusecs, according to the latest hydrological data. Forecasts predict inflows could climb to 200,000 cusecs within the next 48 hours, while outflows may range between 150,000 and 180,000 cusecs. This surge could strain the river’s banks, risking localized flooding in nearby settlements.
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The PDMA has flagged areas like Sialkot, Gujrat, and Bajwat as particularly vulnerable. Heavy rainfall in the upper catchment areas, combined with potential water releases from Indian reservoirs, has heightened concerns. The situation echoes past incidents, such as in May 2025, when India’s sudden release of 28,000 cusecs from the Chenab triggered flood alerts in similar districts.
Communities on High Alert
Local authorities are mobilizing to protect residents in at-risk areas. The PDMA has directed district administrations in Sialkot, Gujrat, and other regions along the Chenab to prepare for potential emergencies. Evacuation plans are in place, and rescue teams are on standby with equipment and fuel reserves to support rapid response efforts.
Director General Imran Qureshi of the PDMA emphasized the need for vigilance, stating, “We are closely monitoring the river’s flow and have ensured all necessary arrangements to safeguard lives and property.” He urged residents in low-lying areas to stay informed and follow safety guidelines.
The forecast also warns of medium to high flooding in associated nullahs (small streams) and tributaries, which could exacerbate risks in rural communities. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) predicts scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall in Punjab’s upper catchments, adding pressure to the river system.
Background of Chenab’s Flood Risks
The River Chenab, one of Pakistan’s major rivers, has a history of flooding during monsoon seasons, often worsened by heavy rainfall and upstream water management. The Marala Headworks, a critical control point, can handle up to 1.1 million cusecs, but sudden surges or blockages, as seen in past disputes with India over the Indus Waters Treaty, can strain its capacity.
In August 2024, the Chenab saw flows of 230,000 to 270,000 cusecs, affecting settlements in Gujrat’s Bajwat area. This year’s forecast suggests similar risks, prompting authorities to act swiftly to avoid damage to homes, crops, and infrastructure.
What to Expect Next
The PDMA and PMD will continue monitoring the river’s flow and weather patterns, with updates expected over the next 48 hours. Residents are advised to avoid riverbanks, secure livestock, and prepare for possible evacuation. The authorities have assured that relief camps and medical teams are ready to assist affected communities.
As the situation develops, the focus remains on protecting vulnerable populations and minimizing damage. “Our priority is ensuring safety and quick response,” said a PDMA spokesperson. “We urge residents to stay alert and cooperate with local teams.”
